Analysis

Strategic analysis carried out by national and international experts in security and defense.

Intervention of the Peruvian State in La Pampa: A pendant integral effort

By: Manolo Eduardo Villagra (18/05/2021).

In Peru, the increase in agricultural activities and illegal mining has increased deforestation in the Amazon region; Among the areas with the greatest impact, “La Pampa” stands out, located in the Madre de Dios Region. This serious situation made the Peruvian State start, in 2019, the implementation of the “Comprehensive Plan Against Illegal Mining in Madre de Dios (La Pampa)”, with the aim of stopping the illegal activities that had been developing and recovering the principle of authority through the execution of multisectoral actions.

The Chancellery and the Hybrid War: The Lavrov Case in the Russian Conflicts of the 21st Century

By: Alberto Castro Villa (05/05/2021).

This article shows and analyzes the important work of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, as a core element of the strategy developed by the Kremlin in its conflicts in the 21st century. In this sense, the importance of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs for the direction and execution of this strategy, whose theoretical basis has been called the “Gerasimov Doctrine”, is highlighted. Likewise, the fundamental concepts, sources and operating procedures of this doctrine are cited, which the West – originally – called Hybrid War. For this, two of the conflicts in which Russia has participated in the course of the 21st century are presented, such as the cyberwar between Russia and Estonia, in 2007, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, in 2014.

Will there be a “long telegram” from China?

By: José Pardo de Santayana (28/04/2021).

Kennan’s famous “long telegram”, which inspired the containment response to the Soviet Union during the Cold War, is a lesson in how to strategize in the face of geopolitical challenges of great magnitude and complexity. When rereading it, the clairvoyance displayed by the young American diplomat is still amazing.

Post-pandemic geopolitics

By: Gonzalo Rubio Piñeiro (22/04/2021).

The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is not yet quantifiable; however, the main variables that currently define the evolution of the strategic environment are easily identifiable. From these, you can establish global forward-looking scenarios and analyze their specific impact in Latin America.

The Chinese fishing army: a threat to Latin America

By: Andrés González Martin (17/03/2021).

In 2020, the Ecuadorian press, concerned about the presence of an unusual number of Chinese fishing boats off its coast, reported that the total Chinese high seas fleet (DWF) exceeded 3,000 vessels.1 Recent assessments have estimated China’s offshore fishing fleet at between 1,600 and 3,400 vessels, although it is unclear whether the Chinese government has a complete picture of their size.2

Internet and hybrid conflicts: a new scenario of confrontation

By: María Ana Leal (10/03/2021).

During the last decade, criminal organizations have been taking advantage of the new digital environments to achieve part of their objectives, such as recruiting young audiences (through a media establishment of the so-called “narcoculture” presented as an attractive way of life), transmitting communications to the political sector, sending threatening messages to other organizations, demonstrating power and territorial control, among others.

The new geopolitics: Prospective approach of national power

By: Manuel Paz Ramos (03/03/2021).

The article analyzes how the new geopolitics consolidates planning between national policy and foreign policy. In this sense, prospective studies, especially in the Defense Sector, must take these studies into account, mainly in the economic, technological, environmental and development fields.

The struggles for hegemony and the new virtualized world

By: Manolo Eduardo Villagra (11/02/2021).

In this article, the author analyzes the hegemonic struggle as a cyclical social phenomenon in which the countries with greater power use different instruments and strategies to gain dominance. Currently, these struggles are developed within the framework of a new paradigm such as virtual society in the context of COVID-19, against which competing countries have had to adapt, generating a process of global restructuring.

Defense and Security: The Need to March toward a New Paradigm

By: Matías Lobos (03/02/2021).

In this article, the author addresses the need to propose and implement a new security paradigm in Latin America, which does not contemplate a categorical differentiation between the areas of internal security and national defense. This view take into account the contemporary reality regarding the evolution of transnational crime while it diffuses the existing borders between the areas mentioned.